Storm watch · Kp 5.0

Kp 5.0 forecast in the next 3 days — the aurora could push much further south than usual.

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Australia · Aurora australis

Is the aurora visible in Hobart tonight?

Right now

Wait for dark.

Kp is 2.7. Hobart needs Kp 6+ for the oval overhead — right now it’s low on the southern horizon.

Tonight's peak is forecast around Kp 5.0 (Minor storm). The forecast still depends on darkness, cloud and the moon at your exact spot.

Reliable about 30 minutes ahead — cloud decides the rest.

Hobart needs an active night or a minor geomagnetic storm — it needs roughly Kp 6+ for the southern lights to come into view. Here's tonight's live space weather and how to plan around it.

Come back at 07:10 PM — that’s when the sky goes dark and the aurora could show.

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How to see the aurora from Hobart

Face south and find a clear, low horizon in that direction. Everything else — dark skies, adapted eyes, the camera trick — is the same anywhere on Earth, so it lives in the how to photograph the aurora guide.

When can you see the southern lights in Hobart?

Aurora season in Hobart runs roughly March – September. Here the months that pay off are September, May, and March — the table below shows why. See the full best time to see the aurora guide for the season in detail.

Hobart by the numbers

Between Sep 1, 2025 and Aug 31, 2026, Hobart had 365 nights dark enough for the aurora, and the planetary Kp reached the Kp 6+ this place needs on 26 of them. Averaged over 2015–2024 and this location's cloud cover, that works out to about 5 aurora-possible nights a year, most of them in September, May, and March.

Month by month at Hobart
MonthDark hours per nightDark nightsAverage cloud coverAurora-possible nights
January7.8 h3162%<1
February9.3 h2860%<1
March10.5 h3163%1
April12.3 h3061%<1
May13.3 h3161%1
June13.8 h3063%<1
July13.5 h3162%<1
August12.5 h3163%1
September11.3 h3062%1
October9.8 h3163%1
November8.3 h3067%<1
December7.5 h3165%<1

Sources: the sun's geometry (dark = at least 6° below the horizon), GFZ Potsdam's Kp index 2015–2024 (CC BY 4.0), ERA5 cloud cover via Open-Meteo (the table shows the monthly mean; the estimate counts days that were not overcast). An estimate for comparing places and months, not a forecast — how we estimate this.

Where it’s reliable

Chase it where the oval lives

In depth

Read the Tasmania destination guide

Best months, where exactly to go, and the tours worth booking — the full guide to seeing the aurora in Tasmania.

Open the guide