Storm watch · Kp 5.0

Kp 5.0 forecast in the next 3 days — the aurora could push much further south than usual.

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USA · Aurora borealis

Is the aurora visible in Fairbanks tonight?

Right now

Wait for dark.

Kp is 2.3. Fairbanks needs Kp 1+ for the oval overhead — right now it’s overhead.

Tonight's peak is forecast around Kp 5.0 (Minor storm). The forecast still depends on darkness, cloud and the moon at your exact spot.

Reliable about 30 minutes ahead — cloud decides the rest.

Fairbanks sits right under the auroral oval — it needs roughly Kp 1+ for the northern lights to come into view. Here's tonight's live space weather and how to plan around it.

Come back at 09:31 PM — that’s when the sky goes dark and the aurora could show.

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How to see the aurora from Fairbanks

Face north and find a clear, low horizon in that direction. Everything else — dark skies, adapted eyes, the camera trick — is the same anywhere on Earth, so it lives in the how to photograph the aurora guide.

When can you see the northern lights in Fairbanks?

Aurora season in Fairbanks runs roughly September – March. Here the months that pay off are January, March, and April — the table below shows why. See the full best time to see the aurora guide for the season in detail.

Fairbanks by the numbers

Between Sep 1, 2025 and Aug 31, 2026, Fairbanks had 288 nights dark enough for the aurora, and the planetary Kp reached the Kp 1+ this place needs on 285 of them. Averaged over 2015–2024 and this location's cloud cover, that works out to about 125 aurora-possible nights a year, most of them in January, March, and April.

Month by month at Fairbanks
MonthDark hours per nightDark nightsAverage cloud coverAurora-possible nights
January16.3 h3159%16
February13.5 h2861%14
March10.5 h3161%15
April6.8 h3055%18
May01163%6
June0062%0
July0368%1
August5 h3178%9
September9.3 h3072%12
October12.5 h3170%13
November15.5 h3070%11
December17.3 h3167%12

Sources: the sun's geometry (dark = at least 6° below the horizon), GFZ Potsdam's Kp index 2015–2024 (CC BY 4.0), ERA5 cloud cover via Open-Meteo (the table shows the monthly mean; the estimate counts days that were not overcast). An estimate for comparing places and months, not a forecast — how we estimate this.

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Aurora tours & stays near Fairbanks

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Some links below are paid affiliate links. If you book a tour, reserve a stay or buy gear through them, we may earn a commission — it never costs you anything extra and helps keep the forecast free.

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In depth

Read the Fairbanks destination guide

Best months, where exactly to go, and the tours worth booking — the full guide to seeing the aurora in Fairbanks.

Open the guide