Storm watch · Kp 5.0

Kp 5.0 forecast in the next 3 days — the aurora could push much further south than usual.

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New Zealand · Aurora australis

Is the aurora visible in Bluff tonight?

Right now

Wait for dark.

Kp is 2.3. Bluff needs Kp 7+ for the oval overhead — right now it’s low on the southern horizon.

Tonight's peak is forecast around Kp 5.0 (Minor storm). The forecast still depends on darkness, cloud and the moon at your exact spot.

Reliable about 30 minutes ahead — cloud decides the rest.

Bluff only catches the aurora during strong geomagnetic storms — it needs roughly Kp 7+ for the southern lights to come into view. Here's tonight's live space weather and how to plan around it.

Come back at 07:51 PM — that’s when the sky goes dark and the aurora could show.

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How to see the aurora from Bluff

Face south and find a clear, low horizon in that direction. Everything else — dark skies, adapted eyes, the camera trick — is the same anywhere on Earth, so it lives in the how to photograph the aurora guide.

When can you see the southern lights in Bluff?

Aurora season in Bluff runs roughly March – September. Here the months that pay off are September, March, and May — the table below shows why. See the full best time to see the aurora guide for the season in detail.

Bluff by the numbers

Between Sep 1, 2025 and Aug 31, 2026, Bluff had 365 nights dark enough for the aurora, and the planetary Kp reached the Kp 7+ this place needs on 9 of them. Averaged over 2015–2024 and this location's cloud cover, that works out to about 1 aurora-possible nights a year, most of them in September, March, and May.

Month by month at Bluff
MonthDark hours per nightDark nightsAverage cloud coverAurora-possible nights
January7.3 h3172%0
February8.8 h2868%0
March10.5 h3171%<1
April12.3 h3073%<1
May13.5 h3171%<1
June14.3 h3070%<1
July14 h3172%0
August12.8 h3169%<1
September11 h3069%<1
October9.3 h3171%<1
November7.8 h3069%<1
December6.8 h3173%0

Sources: the sun's geometry (dark = at least 6° below the horizon), GFZ Potsdam's Kp index 2015–2024 (CC BY 4.0), ERA5 cloud cover via Open-Meteo (the table shows the monthly mean; the estimate counts days that were not overcast). An estimate for comparing places and months, not a forecast — how we estimate this.

Closer to the oval

Within 400 km, these places need a lower Kp than Bluff:

  • Oban 40 km SW · Kp 6+

Where it’s reliable

Chase it where the oval lives

In depth

Read the Stewart Island destination guide

Best months, where exactly to go, and the tours worth booking — the full guide to seeing the aurora in Stewart Island.

Open the guide